Pachuca U21vs
Cruz Azul U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/21/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pachuca U21 0-0 Cruz Azul U21, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pachuca U21 3-1 Cruz Azul U21
Original prediction
Pachuca U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.0% | 36.6% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 29.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.2% | 34.3% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Projected Score
Pachuca U21 0–0 Cruz Azul U21
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pachuca U21
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Pachuca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20