Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÅIFK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
P-Iirot 2-1 ÅIFK
Original prediction
ÅIFK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.0% | 24.7% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 22.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 53.3% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
ÅIFK
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
ÅIFK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
P-IirotDLLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ÅIFKWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
P-IirotÅIFK
54.4Attack68.4
54.4Defence68.4
49.1Form73.7
52.5Power70.7
1.09xG1.89