Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
P-Iirot 3-0 EPS
Original prediction
EPS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 31.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 20.7% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 47.5% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
EPS
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
EPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
P-IirotLWDLL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
EPSDLWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
P-IirotEPS
54.0Attack68.3
47.6Defence55.6
49.2Form57.1
50.4Power60.1
1.57xG2.10