GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ozgon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Lowconfidence

Ozgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while OshMU Aldier are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ozgon hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Premier League, while Ozgon holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ozgon

Probability

73.9%

Model confidence

10.0%

Ozgon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OzgonLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OshMU AldierLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OzgonOshMU Aldier
68.4Attack47.4
61.4Defence40.4
68.4Form40.4
66.7Power44.0
2.81xG0.94
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