Ozgonvs
Muras United
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muras United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ozgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Muras United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muras United
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
13.6%
Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40