Oxford Unitedvs
Wigan
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oxford United 2-0 Wigan, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oxford United 2-1 Wigan
Original prediction
Oxford United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.4% | 65.0% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.0% | 20.6% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.6% | 14.4% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Projected Score
Oxford United 2–0 Wigan
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Oxford United
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Oxford UnitedDWDDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WiganWLWLD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Oxford UnitedWigan
66.7Attack22.2
62.5Defence51.9
62.5Form25.9
63.8Power35.7
2.11xG0.56