GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oxford United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.4 against 61.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oxford United

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oxford UnitedWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Milton Keynes DonsLDLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
60.0Attack66.7
73.3Defence41.7
60.0Form75.0
62.4Power61.9
2.04xG1.37
View match centre →