Oxford UnitedvsChelsea U21

Oxford United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford United hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.