Oxford Unitedvs
Cambridge United
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oxford United 1-1 Cambridge United
Original prediction
Oxford United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.9% | 48.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 24.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.6% | 27.3% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Oxford United
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40