GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rochdale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oxford City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rochdale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rochdale hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the National League, while Rochdale holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rochdale

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Rochdale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oxford CityLLWDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RochdaleLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Oxford CityRochdale
39.1Attack50.0
31.9Defence53.6
23.9Form44.9
33.3Power51.1
1.12xG1.99
View match centre →