Oxford Cityvs
Buxton
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oxford City 2-3 Buxton
Original prediction
Oxford City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.2% | 48.0% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 25.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.2% | 26.7% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Oxford City
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Oxford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40