Oviedovs
Sporting Gijon
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oviedo 0-0 Sporting Gijon, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.7% | 37.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.2% | 33.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 24.1% | 29.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Oviedo 0–0 Sporting Gijon
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OviedoLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting GijonWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OviedoSporting Gijon
27.8Attack27.8
77.8Defence77.8
44.4Form55.6
51.0Power55.9
0.73xG0.65