Ourense CFvs
Gimnástica Torrelavega
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ourense CF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ourense CF 1-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ourense CF 3-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega
Original prediction
Ourense CF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 58.9% | 46.4% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.5% | 28.7% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 5.39 | 16.5% | 24.9% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
Ourense CF 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ourense CF
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Ourense CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60