Ourense CFvs
Eibar II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ourense CF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ourense CF 0-2 Eibar II
Original prediction
Ourense CF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.1% | 39.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.4% | 31.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ourense CF
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Ourense CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40