Ourense CFvs
Coruxo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ourense CF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ourense CF 1-0 Coruxo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ourense CF 0-1 Coruxo
Original prediction
Ourense CF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 45.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.9% | 25.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Projected Score
Ourense CF 1–0 Coruxo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Ourense CF
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Ourense CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ourense CFLDWLW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CoruxoLLDLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ourense CFCoruxo
27.8Attack26.7
61.1Defence46.7
55.6Form13.3
50.3Power32.2
1.20xG0.78