Ourense CFvs
Basconia
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ourense CF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ourense CF 2-1 Basconia
Original prediction
Ourense CF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.1% | 38.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 29.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.4% | 32.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ourense CF
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Ourense CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60