Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIvs
Zelzate
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-3 Zelzate
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 46.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 25.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.6% | 28.2% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00