Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIvs
Tienen
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2-1 Tienen
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.6% | 38.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.0% | 34.8% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00