Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIvs
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.3% | 46.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 23.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 24.9% | 29.9% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60