Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIvs
Heist
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 0-0 Heist
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.3% | 51.3% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 22.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 25.9% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–07%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00