Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIvs
Harelbeke
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-1 Harelbeke
Original prediction
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.8% | 67.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.4% | 17.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.09 | 14.8% | 15.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80