Otrant-Olympicvs
Sutjeska
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Otrant-Olympic 1-1 Sutjeska
Original prediction
Sutjeska
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 30.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.6% | 36.6% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00