Otrant-Olympicvs
Mladost DG
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 10/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Otrant-Olympic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Otrant-Olympic 1-0 Mladost DG, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Otrant-Olympic 2-2 Mladost DG
Original prediction
Otrant-Olympic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 45.8% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 28.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 18.9% | 25.3% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Otrant-Olympic 1–0 Mladost DG
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Otrant-Olympic
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Otrant-Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00