GGOALVIO

Montenegro · Second League · 8/26/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Otrant-Olympic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Otrant-Olympic are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Grbalj are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Otrant-Olympic hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Second League, while Otrant-Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Otrant-Olympic

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Otrant-Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Otrant-OlympicWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
GrbaljWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Otrant-OlympicGrbalj
59.0Attack43.8
81.0Defence54.3
72.4Form48.6
71.0Power51.1
1.84xG0.58
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