OTPvs
Kuopion Elo
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko C · 5/13/2023, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OTP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
OTP are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Kuopion Elo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and OTP hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while OTP holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OTP
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
OTP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20