GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostrovets FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ostrovets FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Smorgon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostrovets FC hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the 1. Division, while Ostrovets FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostrovets FC

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Ostrovets FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ostrovets FCWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SmorgonLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ostrovets FCSmorgon
38.9Attack37.0
51.9Defence46.3
33.3Form31.5
43.5Power39.4
1.37xG0.98
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