CoppaCoppa
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Ostrovets FC

Ostrovets FC

Home
DD
23
Full time
FC Vitebsk

FC Vitebsk

Away
WW
City Stadium
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Ostrovets FC(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Ostrovets FC
43%
Draw
35%
FC Vitebsk
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ostrovets FC
34
FC Vitebsk
73
Defence
Ostrovets FC
66
FC Vitebsk
91
Momentum
Ostrovets FC
33
FC Vitebsk
100
Danger (xG)
Ostrovets FC
0.90
FC Vitebsk
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ostrovets FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (FC Vitebsk)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Ostrovets FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC Vitebsk)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC
DDDD
FC VitebskFC Vitebsk
WWDL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Ostrovets FC43%
Draw35%
FC Vitebsk22%

Ostrovets FC leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Ostrovets FC head into this in Coppa fixture at City Stadium in mixed form (DD), while FC Vitebsk arrive in decent form (WW). Ostrovets FC have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Vitebsk over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ostrovets FC (66/100) and FC Vitebsk (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ostrovets FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. FC Vitebsk have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Ostrovets FC and FC Vitebsk in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Ostrovets FC to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ostrovets FC 4294%, Draw 3500%, FC Vitebsk 2206%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Ostrovets FC

Ostrovets FC

D
vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
10 Jul 2026
11
D
@ FC Slutsk
4 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Dinamo Minsk II
28 Jun 2026
11
D
@ Gomel II
15 May 2026
00
FC Vitebsk

FC Vitebsk

W
@ Arsenal
12 Jul 2026
30
W
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
4 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Dinamo Minsk
27 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Dinamo Brest
20 Jun 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ostrovets FC vs FC Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Ostrovets FC to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ostrovets FC vs FC Vitebsk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Ostrovets FC vs FC Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ostrovets FC vs FC Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more