GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/2/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baranovichi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ostrovets FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Baranovichi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Baranovichi hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the 1. Division, while Baranovichi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baranovichi

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Baranovichi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ostrovets FCDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaranovichiDDLDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ostrovets FCBaranovichi
38.9Attack47.9
51.9Defence49.0
33.3Form50.0
43.5Power50.3
1.26xG1.31
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