Ostia Marevs
Vado
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ostia Mare 0-0 Vado, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostia Mare 1-2 Vado
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.6% | 37.0% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 32.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.8% | 30.8% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Ostia Mare 0–0 Vado
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ostia MareLDDDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
VadoDWWDL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ostia MareVado
30.0Attack29.6
60.0Defence63.0
30.0Form33.3
42.3Power44.2
0.72xG0.69