Ostia Marevs
Forli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostia Mare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostia Mare 1-1 Forli
Original prediction
Ostia Mare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.4% | 41.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 29.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.3% | 29.3% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ostia Mare
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Ostia Mare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40