Ostersunds FKvs
Varbergs BoIS FC
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostersunds FK 1-1 Varbergs BoIS FC
Original prediction
Ostersunds FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.8% | 39.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.9% | 30.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.3% | 30.9% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40