Ostersunds FKvs
United Nordic
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostersunds FK 4-1 United Nordic
Original prediction
Ostersunds FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.9% | 49.1% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.3% | 27.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 13.8% | 23.8% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80