SuperettanSuperettan
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Ostersunds FK

Ostersunds FK

Home
WL
20
Full time
Landskrona BoIS

Landskrona BoIS

Away
W
Jamtkraft Arena
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Draw(35%)
Win probability
Ostersunds FK
33%
Draw
35%
Landskrona BoIS
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ostersunds FK
34
Landskrona BoIS
34
Defence
Ostersunds FK
66
Landskrona BoIS
91
Momentum
Ostersunds FK
50
Landskrona BoIS
100
Danger (xG)
Ostersunds FK
0.90
Landskrona BoIS
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.56 xG for Ostersunds FK and 1.70 xG for Landskrona BoIS — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.15), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.26 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Ostersunds FK)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Landskrona BoIS)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ostersunds FK)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Landskrona BoIS)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
WLWW
Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS
WD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Ostersunds FK33%
Draw35%
Landskrona BoIS32%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Ostersunds FK host Landskrona BoIS in Superettan. Ostersunds FK have recorded DLWLWD in recent matches while Landskrona BoIS arrive with a run of WWWWLL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.3 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🔒 Defensive Stability Landskrona BoIS have kept 4 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Landskrona BoIS arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (WWWWLL) against Ostersunds FK's 2. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Ostersunds FK have won 2 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Landskrona BoIS carry the stronger underlying metrics, Ostersunds FK's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Landskrona BoIS hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Landskrona BoIS.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Landskrona BoIS, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Ostersunds FK score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.15 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Ostersunds FK

Ostersunds FK

W
@ GIF Sundsvall
27 Jun 2026
20
L
vs IFK Norrkoping
21 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Sandviken
17 May 2026
21
W
@ IK brage
13 May 2026
42
Landskrona BoIS

Landskrona BoIS

W
vs IFK Varnamo
28 Jun 2026
10
D
vs Norrby IF
12 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more