Ostersunds FKvs
IK brage
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostersunds FK 1-1 IK brage
Original prediction
Ostersunds FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.6% | 61.2% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.8% | 20.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.6% | 18.0% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40