Ostersunds FKvs
Helsingborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/14/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ostersunds FK 1-0 Helsingborg
Original prediction
Ostersunds FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 50.4% | 59.4% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 21.5% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.3% | 19.1% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00