GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/2/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gais · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ostersunds FK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gais are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gais hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Superettan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gais

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ostersunds FKLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
GaisWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ostersunds FKGais
51.9Attack67.8
61.1Defence74.4
59.3Form63.3
59.7Power66.8
0.87xG1.47
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