GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Osters IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Osters IF 1-2 United Nordic

Original prediction

Osters IF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6235.2%41.6%6.4 pts
Draw3.5026.4%24.0%-2.3 pts
Away2.4038.4%34.3%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Osters IF

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Osters IFDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
United NordicLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFUnited Nordic
50.8Attack50.8
52.4Defence52.4
52.4Form50.8
53.0Power53.0
1.56xG1.33
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