GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Osters IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Osters IF are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Trelleborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Osters IF hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Superettan, while Osters IF holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Osters IF

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Osters IFWDDDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrelleborgLDDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFTrelleborg
50.0Attack44.4
50.0Defence42.2
48.1Form43.3
50.3Power45.3
1.89xG1.20
View match centre →