GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Osters IF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Superettan, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Osters IFWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ostersunds FKLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFOstersunds FK
50.0Attack51.9
50.0Defence61.1
48.1Form59.3
50.3Power59.7
1.22xG1.46
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