Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osters IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Osters IF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Orebro SK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Osters IF hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Superettan, while Osters IF holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Osters IF
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40