Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oddevold · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Osters IF 3-1 Oddevold
Original prediction
Oddevold
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 32.3% | 34.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.8% | 24.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.9% | 41.2% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Oddevold
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Oddevold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Osters IFLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OddevoldWLDWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFOddevold
48.7Attack51.3
48.7Defence56.4
46.2Form50.0
49.1Power54.3
1.35xG1.46