GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Osters IF 1-3 IFK Norrkoping

Original prediction

IFK Norrkoping

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8124.1%19.0%-5.1 pts
Draw3.8523.8%22.1%-1.6 pts
Away1.7652.2%58.9%6.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–112%
  2. 2.1–112%
  3. 3.0–212%

Predicted outcome

IFK Norrkoping

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Osters IFWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IFK NorrkopingDWDWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Osters IFIFK Norrkoping
51.4Attack62.5
51.4Defence79.2
50.0Form72.2
52.0Power70.9
0.83xG1.76
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