GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Osters IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Osters IF are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AFC Eskilstuna are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Osters IF hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Superettan, while Osters IF holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Osters IF

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Osters IFWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AFC EskilstunaLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Osters IFAFC Eskilstuna
50.0Attack31.1
50.0Defence53.3
48.1Form34.4
50.3Power41.7
1.54xG0.83
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