GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/16/2025, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Union Brescia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OspitalettoLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union BresciaLWWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OspitalettoUnion Brescia
36.0Attack43.0
62.3Defence78.9
39.5Form60.5
47.8Power62.2
0.53xG0.93
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