Ospitalettovs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ospitaletto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ospitaletto 1-1 Renate
Original prediction
Ospitaletto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 46.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 28.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.3% | 26.1% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Ospitaletto
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Ospitaletto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40