Ospitalettovs
Juventus U23
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ospitaletto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ospitaletto 3-0 Juventus U23
Original prediction
Ospitaletto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 37.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 30.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 32.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Ospitaletto
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Ospitaletto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00