Ospitalettovs
Arzignano Valchiampo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ospitaletto 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ospitaletto 3-1 Arzignano Valchiampo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.9% | 37.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.3% | 33.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.8% | 29.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Ospitaletto 0–0 Arzignano Valchiampo
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OspitalettoDWLDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OspitalettoArzignano Valchiampo
33.3Attack28.1
66.7Defence67.5
33.3Form38.6
45.3Power46.1
0.87xG0.65