Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novaci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Osogovo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Novaci are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Novaci hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Second League, while Novaci holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Novaci
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
13.4%
Novaci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40