Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osogovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Osogovo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Belasica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Belasica hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Osogovo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Osogovo
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Osogovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60