GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Osogovo are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Bashkimi Kumanovo are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bashkimi Kumanovo hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OsogovoLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Bashkimi KumanovoWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
OsogovoBashkimi Kumanovo
35.6Attack32.2
37.9Defence54.0
31.0Form44.8
37.0Power45.3
1.03xG1.13
View match centre →